Comparing two methods for estimating floral resource availability for insect pollinators in semi-natural habitats

Pollinator and flowering plant interactions play a critical role in maintaining most terrestrial ecosystems, including agroecosystems. Although estimates of floral resource availability are essential to understand plant–pollinator relationships, no generally accepted methodology exists to date. We compared two methods for sampling floral resources in a single meadow. About every three days, we recorded species lists of insect-pollinated plants with abundance categories assigned to each species (hereafter referred to as scanning) and we counted the flowering shoots in 36 2 × 2 m quadrats (hereafter quadrat sampling). These methods were compared with respect to (i) the number of species detected, (ii) estimated floral resource abundance, and (iii) temporal changes in flowering. With scanning, we found more potential nectar-plant species and species were found earlier than with quadrat sampling. With the latter, abundant species were found with higher probability than the scarce. Flower abundances were correlated between the two methods. We predicted that a cover of 6.3 ± 3.6% should be used for an appropriate estimate of flower abundance in our study site, although the optimal cover probably varies across different habitats. Furthermore, flower abundance changed 6% per day compared to the flowering peak. Overall, scanning seems to be more appropriate for detecting presence and the timing of species, while quadrats may provide higher resolution for abundance estimates. Increased sampling coverage and frequency may enhance research accuracy and using scanning and quadrat sampling simultaneously may help to optimize research effort. We encourage further development of sampling protocols.     

中国植物受威胁等级评估系统概述

濒危物种保护是生物多样性保护工作的重要组成部分, 而物种受威胁等级评估则是濒危物种保护的方向指引。经过多年的发展, 物种受威胁等级的评估由定性评估逐渐向定量评估为主、定性评估为辅的方向发展。本文综述了国内植物受威胁等级定量评估系统的研究进展, 同时介绍了国外较为成熟的IUCN红色名录评估系统、CITES评估系统、美国自然保育协会评估系统, 提出未来制定受威胁物种定量评估标准时要兼顾以下方面: (1)等级设置定义要明确、统一且合理; (2)评估标准应该定量化、客观且不冗余; (3)评估系统应该适应不同地理范围, 最好能同时表达出各范围的受威胁等级; (4)评估指标要包含物种动态信息, 能定量分析物种在过去或者未来的变化。此外, 本文认为国内的物种受威胁等级定量评估系统应该形成规范化的大纲, 加大宣传力度, 尽量将理论研究与具体的保护行动结合起来; 同时, 我国还应该采用全球广泛应用的受威胁等级评估系统获取物种受威胁等级, 将国内生物多样性保护工作纳入到全球范围中去。     

江苏省县域森林生态安全评价及空间计量分析

通过考察生态区位因素对森林生态安全的影响,建立评价指标体系,研究其空间相关性的内在效应机制,从而实现森林生态安全的评价与监测。以江苏省80个区县为研究对象,基于2000—2015年面板数据,运用熵权法、专家法及模糊物元法计算森林生态安全指数,然后结合气象类指标及地形类指标计算生态区位系数,再用该系数修正森林ESI,同时结合Arc GIS技术、空间相关性分析、SLM与SEM模型得出如下结论:(1)人口密度、单位面积能源消耗量、退耕还林面积占比等指标权重最大;(2)生态区位系数高值区主要分布在江苏南部少数地区,低值区主要分布在江苏东北部;(3)苏南地区森林生态安全状况整体好于苏北及中东部地区;(4) 2000—2015年,江苏省67.5%的区县森林ESI呈现出较明显下降趋势,反映出江苏省森林生态安全发展状况不容乐观;(5)江苏省县域森林ESI整体空间相关性显著(P≤0.01),但2000—2015年空间聚集程度有所下降,且Low-Low聚类显著性更强;(6)森林ESI在江苏省县域间为扩散效应与回流效应并存。     

Thrombin inhibitors with novel P1 binding pocket functionality: free energy of binding analysis

The high incidence of thrombembolic diseases justifies the development of new antithrombotics. The search for a direct inhibitor has resulted in the synthesis of a considerable number of low molecular weight molecules that inhibit human α-thrombin potently. However, efforts to develop an orally active drug remain in progress as the most active inhibitors with a highly basic P1 moiety exhibit an unsatisfactory bioavailability profile. In our previous work we solved several X-ray structures of human α-thrombin in complexes with (1) novel bicyclic arginine mimetics attached to the glycylproline amide and pyridinone acetamide scaffold and (2) inhibitors with a novel aza scaffold and with charged or neutral P1 moieties. In the present contribution, we correlate the structures of the complex between these inhibitors and the protein with the calculated free energy of binding. The energy of solvation was calculated using the Poisson–Boltzmann approach. In particular, the requirements for successful recognition of an inhibitor at the protein’s active site pocket S1 are discussed. Figure We report here on free energy of binding analysis of thrombin inhibitors with novel aza scaffold and novel bicyclic arginine mimetics in S1 pocket of thrombin     

A semiparametric estimate of treatment effects with censored data

A semiparametric estimate of an average regression effect with right-censored failure time data has recently been proposed under the Cox-type model where the regression effect beta(t) is allowed to vary with time. In this article, we derive a simple algebraic relationship between this average regression effect and a measurement of group differences in k-sample transformation models when the random error belongs to the G(rho) family of Harrington and Fleming (1982, Biometrika 69, 553-566), the latter being equivalent to the conditional regression effect in a gamma frailty model. The models considered here are suitable for the attenuating hazard ratios that often arise in practice. The results reveal an interesting connection among the above three classes of models as alternatives to the proportional hazards assumption and add to our understanding of the behavior of the partial likelihood estimate under nonproportional hazards. The algebraic relationship provides a simple estimator under the transformation model. We develop a variance estimator based on the empirical influence function that is much easier to compute than the previously suggested resampling methods. When there is truncation in the right tail of the failure times, we propose a method of bias correction to improve the coverage properties of the confidence intervals. The estimate, its estimated variance, and the bias correction term can all be calculated with minor modifications to standard software for proportional hazards regression.     

Identification of common structural features of binding sites in galactose-specific proteins

Galactose-binding proteins characterize an important subgroup of sugar-binding proteins that are involved in a variety of biological processes. Structural studies have shown that the Gal-specific proteins encompass a diverse range of primary and tertiary structures. The binding sites for galactose also seem to vary in different protein-galactose complexes. No common binding site features that are shared by the Gal-specific proteins to achieve ligand specificity are so far known. With the assumption that common recognition principles will exist for common substrate recognition, the present study was undertaken to identify and characterize any unique galactose-binding site signature by analyzing the three-dimensional (3D) structures of 18 protein-galactose complexes. These proteins belong to 7 nonhomologous families; thus, there is no sequence or structural similarity across the families. Within each family, the binding site residues and their relative distances were well conserved, but there were no similarities across families. A novel, yet simple, approach was adopted to characterize the binding site residues by representing their relative spatial dispositions in polar coordinates. A combination of the deduced geometrical features with the structural characteristics, such as solvent accessibility and secondary structure type, furnished a potential galactose-binding site signature. The signature was evaluated by incorporation into the program COTRAN to search for potential galactose-binding sites in proteins that share the same fold as the known galactose-binding proteins. COTRAN is able to detect galactose-binding sites with a very high specificity and sensitivity. The deduced galactose-binding site signature is strongly validated and can be used to search for galactose-binding sites in proteins. PROSITE-type signature sequences have also been inferred for galectin and C-type animal lectin-like fold families of Gal-binding proteins.     

Estimation in a Cox proportional hazards cure model

Some failure time data come from a population that consists of some subjects who are susceptible to and others who are nonsusceptible to the event of interest. The data typically have heavy censoring at the end of the follow-up period, and a standard survival analysis would not always be appropriate. In such situations where there is good scientific or empirical evidence of a nonsusceptible population, the mixture or cure model can be used (Farewell, 1982, Biometrics 38, 1041-1046). It assumes a binary distribution to model the incidence probability and a parametric failure time distribution to model the latency. Kuk and Chen (1992, Biometrika 79, 531-541) extended the model by using Cox's proportional hazards regression for the latency. We develop maximum likelihood techniques for the joint estimation of the incidence and latency regression parameters in this model using the nonparametric form of the likelihood and an EM algorithm. A zero-tail constraint is used to reduce the near nonidentifiability of the problem. The inverse of the observed information matrix is used to compute the standard errors. A simulation study shows that the methods are competitive to the parametric methods under ideal conditions and are generally better when censoring from loss to follow-up is heavy. The methods are applied to a data set of tonsil cancer patients treated with radiation therapy.     

北京东灵山地区植物群落多样性研究 Ⅵ.几种类型植物群落物种数目的估计

采用经验贝叶斯方法、非参数方法（刀切法和自助法）和种－面积曲线外推方法对北京东灵山地区５种类型植物群落的物种数目进行了估计,考察了这些方法的估计行为,从中得出如下结论：（１）只要抽样强度不是很小,经验贝叶斯方法就能给出群落物种数目很好的估计,但与非参数方法相比,其估计的标准差较大;（２）在适当的抽样强度下,非参数方法也能给出群落物种数目很好的估计。如果抽样强度过低,则估计值也偏低;相反,如果抽样强度过高,则估计值也偏高。但在各种抽样强度下,非参数方法估计的标准差都比经验贝叶斯方法的小;（３）种－面积曲线２、３、４、５、６可以给出群落物种数目较好的估计,曲线１的估计值偏高,而曲线７、８、９、１０的估计值则偏低;（４）经过几种方法的综合比较,可以对群落１、２、３、４、５的各层及整个群落的物种数目分别做出如下估计;乔木层１６、１９、２１、１２、１６,灌木层１３、１５、２１、１４、２１,草本层４９、４６、５４、８２、５５,整个群落７９、８０、９６、１０７、９２。     

区域农业综合生产力的AHP-Fuzzy综合评判

根据系统分析原理,在确定区域农业综合生产力系统的层次结构基础上,用层次分析法确定各因素的权重,用模糊多级综合评判法对各区域综合生产力进行综合的评价．具有一定的科学性和实用价格．